Friday, January 4, 2008

The Nominations Are Underway

Did you all catch what happened yesterday? Huckabee 34% to Romney's 25%. Obama 37% to Edwards and Clinton at 30% and 29%. Both of the winners from upstart campaigns. Pollsters say that voters commonly reported that they didn't expect either Huckabee or Obama to win the general election, but they ended up voting for them anyway. And there was about a 2-1 showing of Democrat versus Republican voters in a state that's considered a swing state that Bush won in 2004. That does not bode well for the GOP.

Here is a link from Powerline. These are Hugh Hewitt's thoughts. And this comes from a Senior Editor at National Review. I haven't even read this one yet, but this is the Townhall take on what happened yesterday. Here is one last link that describes a little bit about how the caucuses in Iowa work.

Basically it's pretty bad news for Clinton (yay!) and very bad news for Romney (uhoh!). If Romney doesn't take New Hampshire on Tuesday (which right now is very plausible), then we're probably looking at a Huckabee-McCain race for the nomination. Although yesterday I was reading some commentary that was suggesting that an Obama victory last night could be bad news for McCain because of the fact that New Hampshire allows Independents and Democrats to vote either way, Republican or Democrat. That being the case, undecideds could very well go over to Obama and feed off some of the momentum that he has built with a good sized Iowa victory. Romney really needs a good weekend and strong close if he is to be taken seriously as a candidate. There are a couple of debates this weekend. It will be really interesting to see if he changes much in his strategy, goes off the cuff a little bit because a major knock against him is that he's too polished and rehearsed.

Yesterday I was listening to some of Huckabee's statements about his fair tax policies that he wants to install should he become the next president. They were actually pretty good ideas. I still think the guy would be bad news for GOPers if he became the nominee, but I do dislike him a lot less.

3 comments:

Caitlin said...

We were watching the craziness last night too -- definitely some unexpected outcomes. I freaking don't like Huckabee.

Salt H2O said...

NO way is it going to be a Huckabee- McCain race. Not a chance. Don't underestimate the other 48 states in the Union.

Huckabee doesn't have a shot outside of the south.

If Huckabee or McCain wins the republican nomination- I'm voting for Obama. If Hillary was to win the Democratic Nomination- we're packing our bags and moving to Singapore. Seriously.

thegreatscotts said...

Do you watch 24? if you do... doesn't Huckabee look alot like the "bad" president in season 5? Just an observation. Sometimes we skip the news and just read your blog. :)