Monday, January 7, 2008

Onward To New Hampshire

Maybe some of you didn't hear about it, but Mitt won the caucuses in Wyoming. What's that? You had no idea that was even going on? Neither did most people. Here is the story and it happened on Saturday.

This last weekend was mostly all about the debates that went on both Saturday and Sunday nights. There was a lot of speculation that with the Iowa loss, Romney would be reeling and his support would be jumping ship, which would be revealed in New Hampshire. He desperately needed to have a good showing over the weekend in order to be competitive for NH, and even beyond. His whole campaign strategy was built around the idea that he would win the early states and slingshot himself with the momentum he built up into the national race to win the nomination.

Well Mitt destroyed over the weekend. He needed to come up big and he really did. So much so that whereas just last week he was down double digits in the polls to McCain, even before the Iowa stumble, now he's entered to within the margin of error, down just one percent from McCain's 32% support. A couple of things are in play here, namely, his good showing in the debates as well as Obama's growing support from Independent voters. NH has a large amount of independent voters and McCain's support drew largely from that crowd. However, with Obama's recent surge he is pulling away that support and Romney is clearly benefitting.

Here is the take from the guys at Powerline here, and here. The second is a detailed account of the debate, point by point. This one comes from Michelle Malkin. It's also long, but what you're probably most interested in is found right at the top. I'm going to include a really interesting video from Frank Luntz with New Hampshire voters immediately following the Sunday night debate. This one is Hugh Hewitt's take. And this comes from several different writers at National Review Online.

Tomorrow is D-day for Romney. It won't make or break his campaign, and it's still very well possible, maybe even probable that McCain wins tomorrow. However, this will go a long way if Romney can manage to pull this one out.

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